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Red62
859515.0
52713.9
35334.5
Blue28
287222.4
8849.2
54511.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6137020801006228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
353
#3
34.50.8
26.827.6
Auto10.3
Teleop21.8
End2.4
red by 12.0
2872
#24
22.40.8
17.716.9
Auto9.5
Teleop11.5
End1.4
Second
8595
#25
15.00.9
12.813.7
Auto5.0
Teleop7.6
End2.3
red by 3.9
545
#37
11.01.1
9.48.2
Auto5.3
Teleop5.9
End-0.2
Third
527
#27
13.91.1
12.613.7
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End1.9
red by 4.6
884
#46
9.21.1
9.38.1
Auto4.3
Teleop4.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed