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Red55
216111.1
287222.4
56416.1
Blue69
826720.9
802017.6
32923.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4459203040507080901005569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2872
#24
22.40.3
17.718.0
Auto9.5
Teleop11.5
End1.4
blue by 1.4
329
#6
23.81.9
21.923.9
Auto9.6
Teleop13.7
End0.5
Second
564
#35
16.10.3
16.516.8
Auto7.0
Teleop7.8
End1.3
blue by 4.8
20.91.9
14.816.7
Auto6.9
Teleop13.1
End0.9
Third
2161
#32
11.10.5
7.47.9
Auto3.5
Teleop7.1
End0.5
blue by 6.5
8020
#15
17.61.2
14.916.0
Auto5.7
Teleop9.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed