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Red35
18037.7
26316.9
45679.2
Blue68
901626.3
50997.6
35334.5
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions327902040601001201403568

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
#17
16.90.0
18.318.3
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End2.5
blue by 17.6
353
#3
34.50.2
31.832.0
Auto10.3
Teleop21.8
End2.4
Second
4567
#33
9.20.0
5.35.3
Auto3.2
Teleop5.4
End0.7
blue by 17.1
26.30.2
22.522.6
Auto12.3
Teleop11.3
End2.7
Third
1803
#42
7.70.0
11.111.1
Auto2.4
Teleop4.8
End0.4
red by 0.1
5099
#38
7.60.3
11.311.6
Auto2.8
Teleop4.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsMissed48%Ensemble oddsMissed