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Red91
263822.6
146831.9
826720.9
Blue63
573626.7
2814.0
51415.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions785202040601001201401609163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.91.5
30.532.0
Auto10.5
Teleop18.2
End3.2
red by 5.3
5736
#21
26.70.9
25.926.8
Auto11.3
Teleop14.2
End1.1
Second
2638
#14
22.61.5
19.821.3
Auto6.9
Teleop14.2
End1.6
red by 7.3
514
#18
15.31.5
14.616.1
Auto3.6
Teleop9.2
End2.5
Third
20.92.4
16.719.2
Auto6.9
Teleop13.1
End0.9
red by 6.9
28
#34
14.01.5
9.310.8
Auto3.8
Teleop9.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsEarned63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed