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Red61
395022.3
155413.0
52713.9
Blue45
53315.0
24878.8
32923.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505030406070806145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3950
#10
22.31.1
17.118.2
Auto9.6
Teleop11.6
End1.1
blue by 1.6
329
#6
23.80.0
23.923.9
Auto9.6
Teleop13.7
End0.5
Second
527
#27
13.91.8
17.519.3
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End1.9
blue by 1.2
533
#47
15.00.0
13.613.6
Auto6.5
Teleop7.2
End1.3
Third
1554
#36
13.01.8
10.612.3
Auto6.0
Teleop6.8
End0.2
red by 4.2
2487
#40
8.80.0
7.67.6
Auto3.5
Teleop5.1
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed35%Ensemble oddsMissed