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Red58
642326.3
287222.4
680610.3
Blue44
399026.4
80613.5
202714.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5555444850525456585844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.30.5
24.124.6
Auto11.4
Teleop12.9
End2.0
blue by 0.1
26.40.4
26.225.8
Auto8.0
Teleop16.3
End2.1
Second
2872
#24
22.40.5
19.319.8
Auto9.5
Teleop11.5
End1.4
red by 7.6
2027
#39
14.80.7
12.511.8
Auto5.2
Teleop7.5
End2.0
Third
6806
#20
10.30.5
6.67.1
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End0.6
blue by 3.3
806
#29
13.50.4
11.310.9
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed