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Red38
802017.6
8849.2
313712.3
Blue42
2814.0
53315.0
45679.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4238102030506070803842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8020
#15
17.60.0
17.217.2
Auto5.7
Teleop9.9
End2.1
red by 2.6
533
#47
15.00.0
13.913.9
Auto6.5
Teleop7.2
End1.3
Second
3137
#44
12.30.1
11.411.5
Auto6.1
Teleop4.8
End1.5
blue by 1.7
28
#34
14.00.0
13.013.0
Auto3.8
Teleop9.5
End0.8
Third
884
#46
9.20.1
8.88.8
Auto4.3
Teleop4.6
End0.4
Level
4567
#33
9.20.0
8.18.1
Auto3.2
Teleop5.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed