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Red19
23479.1
80613.5
55998.9
Blue53
18037.7
287511.8
313712.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2831102040501953

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
806
#29
13.51.0
9.78.7
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End2.4
red by 1.2
3137
#44
12.30.8
11.010.2
Auto6.1
Teleop4.8
End1.5
Second
2347
#48
9.11.6
10.28.6
Auto4.2
Teleop4.4
End0.6
blue by 2.7
2875
#19
11.80.6
5.24.6
Auto4.9
Teleop6.0
End0.8
Third
5599
#45
8.91.6
7.96.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.6
End1.2
red by 1.2
1803
#42
7.70.8
9.18.3
Auto2.4
Teleop4.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned