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Red34
52713.9
53315.0
50997.6
Blue77
146831.9
96466.4
901626.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions357402060801001203477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
533
#47
15.00.2
13.913.8
Auto6.5
Teleop7.2
End1.3
blue by 16.9
31.90.6
31.932.5
Auto10.5
Teleop18.2
End3.2
Second
527
#27
13.90.3
14.914.7
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End1.9
blue by 12.4
26.30.6
24.925.6
Auto12.3
Teleop11.3
End2.7
Third
5099
#38
7.60.2
7.87.6
Auto2.8
Teleop4.1
End0.7
red by 1.2
9646
#41
6.40.9
5.56.4
Auto1.9
Teleop2.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed75%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsEarned