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Red67
32923.8
313712.3
56918.0
Blue69
826720.9
87119.4
922011.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6159203040507080901006769

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
329
#6
23.80.2
24.925.1
Auto9.6
Teleop13.7
End0.5
red by 2.9
20.90.4
21.521.1
Auto6.9
Teleop13.1
End0.9
Second
569
#13
18.00.2
17.818.0
Auto7.5
Teleop8.8
End1.7
blue by 1.4
871
#11
19.40.4
20.119.7
Auto9.1
Teleop9.3
End1.0
Third
3137
#44
12.30.2
12.112.3
Auto6.1
Teleop4.8
End1.5
red by 0.9
9220
#26
11.40.4
11.811.4
Auto4.6
Teleop5.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsEarned56%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsEarned