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Red58
680610.3
53315.0
286916.6
Blue89
263822.6
154617.2
49610.8
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39542060801005889

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2869
#43
16.61.7
15.216.9
Auto5.4
Teleop10.5
End0.6
blue by 6.1
2638
#14
22.61.1
21.722.7
Auto6.9
Teleop14.2
End1.6
Second
533
#47
15.01.3
13.815.0
Auto6.5
Teleop7.2
End1.3
blue by 2.2
1546
#16
17.21.4
15.817.2
Auto6.4
Teleop9.1
End1.7
Third
6806
#20
10.31.3
7.89.1
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End0.6
blue by 0.5
496
#31
10.81.4
9.410.8
Auto3.8
Teleop4.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned