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Red33
45679.2
51415.3
287222.4
Blue39
395022.3
642326.3
263822.6
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3560020801001203339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2872
#24
22.40.1
16.916.8
Auto9.5
Teleop11.5
End1.4
blue by 3.8
26.30.9
20.519.6
Auto11.4
Teleop12.9
End2.0
Second
514
#18
15.30.2
10.210.0
Auto3.6
Teleop9.2
End2.5
blue by 7.3
2638
#14
22.61.0
17.216.2
Auto6.9
Teleop14.2
End1.6
Third
4567
#33
9.20.2
7.27.1
Auto3.2
Teleop5.4
End0.7
blue by 13.0
3950
#10
22.30.9
13.812.9
Auto9.6
Teleop11.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed52%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed