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Red89
287511.8
901626.3
35334.5
Blue63
26316.9
32923.8
573626.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79776070901008963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
353
#3
34.50.3
33.934.2
Auto10.3
Teleop21.8
End2.4
red by 7.8
5736
#21
26.70.3
27.527.2
Auto11.3
Teleop14.2
End1.1
Second
26.30.3
25.826.1
Auto12.3
Teleop11.3
End2.7
red by 2.5
329
#6
23.80.4
24.824.5
Auto9.6
Teleop13.7
End0.5
Third
2875
#19
11.80.3
11.211.5
Auto4.9
Teleop6.0
End0.8
blue by 5.1
263
#17
16.90.3
17.717.4
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End2.5