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Red72
573626.7
32923.8
26316.9
Blue69
395022.3
287222.4
680610.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions795720401001207269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5736
#21
26.70.0
27.227.1
Auto11.3
Teleop14.2
End1.1
red by 4.2
2872
#24
22.40.3
22.122.4
Auto9.5
Teleop11.5
End1.4
Second
329
#6
23.80.1
24.524.4
Auto9.6
Teleop13.7
End0.5
red by 1.6
3950
#10
22.30.3
21.922.3
Auto9.6
Teleop11.6
End1.1
Third
263
#17
16.90.0
17.417.4
Auto5.7
Teleop8.7
End2.5
red by 6.6
6806
#20
10.30.3
10.010.3
Auto4.6
Teleop5.1
End0.6