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Red103
395025.8
179648.5
36911.4
Blue87
69437.0
687315.4
286920.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions967720406012014016010387

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.50.1
48.248.4
Auto21.0
Teleop22.3
End5.3
red by 11.5
694
#6
37.00.3
36.737.0
Auto13.4
Teleop19.5
End4.2
Second
25.80.1
25.425.6
Auto8.3
Teleop16.6
End0.9
red by 4.9
2869
#17
20.90.3
20.520.8
Auto7.0
Teleop12.9
End1.0
Third
369
#30
11.40.1
11.111.3
Auto1.8
Teleop8.2
End1.5
blue by 3.9
6873
#15
15.40.4
14.915.3
Auto5.2
Teleop9.8
End0.3