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Red26
286920.9
30531.8
301712.7
Blue47
412220.1
3355.6
77308.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412901020506070802647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2869
#17
20.91.0
16.615.6
Auto7.0
Teleop12.9
End1.0
red by 0.8
20.10.9
14.515.4
Auto7.7
Teleop12.0
End0.3
Second
3017
#14
12.71.3
10.18.8
Auto3.6
Teleop7.6
End1.5
red by 3.8
7730
#13
8.91.2
5.26.3
Auto3.2
Teleop5.3
End0.4
Third
3053
#51
1.81.3
9.17.8
Auto1.9
Teleop-1.0
End0.9
blue by 3.9
335
#23
5.61.6
8.19.7
Auto1.9
Teleop3.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed