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Red19
2811.2
3953.9
30531.8
Blue29
580611.4
30043.9
7437.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192401030405060701929

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28
#41
11.20.1
11.912.0
Auto2.5
Teleop7.5
End1.1
blue by 0.1
5806
#24
11.40.1
10.510.5
Auto6.6
Teleop4.7
End0.0
Second
395
#43
3.90.1
0.80.9
Auto0.8
Teleop2.3
End0.7
blue by 3.3
743
#49
7.10.1
6.16.2
Auto3.3
Teleop2.4
End1.4
Third
3053
#51
1.80.1
5.05.1
Auto1.9
Teleop-1.0
End0.9
blue by 2.1
3004
#40
3.90.0
4.94.9
Auto2.2
Teleop1.6
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed