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Red64
35414.3
659010.8
115526.0
Blue30
2811.2
529813.9
457110.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43322060801006430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.01.4
18.019.4
Auto8.6
Teleop15.0
End2.4
red by 12.1
5298
#28
13.90.2
10.510.3
Auto3.3
Teleop9.3
End1.3
Second
354
#11
14.31.4
12.313.7
Auto4.2
Teleop8.9
End1.2
red by 3.1
28
#41
11.20.2
12.011.8
Auto2.5
Teleop7.5
End1.1
Third
6590
#35
10.82.4
7.39.7
Auto4.3
Teleop4.3
End2.2
red by 0.1
4571
#31
10.70.2
7.87.7
Auto3.8
Teleop5.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsEarned37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed