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Red27
234413.7
2811.2
66487.5
Blue32
6406.7
457110.7
92957.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39250102030506070802732

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2344
#16
13.71.3
14.212.9
Auto2.4
Teleop8.6
End2.8
red by 3.1
4571
#31
10.70.5
7.78.2
Auto3.8
Teleop5.2
End1.6
Second
28
#41
11.20.8
11.811.1
Auto2.5
Teleop7.5
End1.1
red by 3.9
9295
#33
7.30.9
6.67.5
Auto3.7
Teleop1.8
End1.8
Third
6648
#47
7.50.8
7.66.8
Auto2.2
Teleop4.0
End1.4
red by 0.8
640
#46
6.70.9
9.910.8
Auto3.1
Teleop2.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed