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Red40
92957.3
96366.1
529813.9
Blue29
33316.2
76118.6
76683.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30280102040506070804029

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5298
#28
13.90.1
12.212.1
Auto3.3
Teleop9.3
End1.3
blue by 2.3
333
#12
16.20.2
16.016.3
Auto5.5
Teleop9.3
End1.4
Second
9295
#33
7.30.2
7.26.9
Auto3.7
Teleop1.8
End1.8
blue by 1.3
7611
#48
8.60.4
5.86.1
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End0.5
Third
9636
#39
6.10.2
7.57.3
Auto1.0
Teleop3.8
End1.3
red by 2.5
7668
#36
3.60.2
3.84.0
Auto0.8
Teleop2.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed