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Red77
179648.5
188017.1
35414.3
Blue58
857028.9
964223.8
727211.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8665020401001201401607758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.50.4
47.447.0
Auto21.0
Teleop22.3
End5.3
red by 19.7
28.90.5
28.327.7
Auto11.7
Teleop15.5
End1.7
Second
1880
#21
17.10.4
13.813.5
Auto5.6
Teleop10.4
End1.1
blue by 6.7
23.80.5
20.620.1
Auto8.7
Teleop14.6
End0.5
Third
354
#11
14.30.4
14.113.8
Auto4.2
Teleop8.9
End1.2
red by 3.3
7272
#29
11.10.8
12.111.2
Auto5.1
Teleop5.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed