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Red69
115526.0
412220.1
341929.6
Blue47
529813.9
3953.9
188017.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions892404060801001201401606947

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.60.3
29.929.7
Auto10.9
Teleop16.5
End2.3
red by 12.6
1880
#21
17.10.8
13.514.3
Auto5.6
Teleop10.4
End1.1
Second
26.00.3
23.423.2
Auto8.6
Teleop15.0
End2.4
red by 12.1
5298
#28
13.90.8
13.113.9
Auto3.3
Teleop9.3
End1.3
Third
20.10.3
19.619.3
Auto7.7
Teleop12.0
End0.3
red by 16.2
395
#43
3.90.8
3.03.9
Auto0.8
Teleop2.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed