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Red18
70367.1
30531.8
188017.1
Blue7
76118.6
6406.7
94374.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41260100200300400500187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1880
#21
17.12.3
17.215.0
Auto5.6
Teleop10.4
End1.1
red by 8.4
7611
#48
8.62.6
7.24.7
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End0.5
Second
7036
#44
7.12.1
10.48.4
Auto2.5
Teleop3.9
End0.7
red by 0.4
640
#46
6.72.6
8.86.2
Auto3.1
Teleop2.6
End1.0
Third
3053
#51
1.82.8
7.85.0
Auto1.9
Teleop-1.0
End0.9
blue by 2.8
9437
#37
4.62.0
4.66.6
Auto1.7
Teleop2.9
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed