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Red38
318121.2
63538.7
703613.0
Blue18
22910.0
2716.3
33411.5
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3641102030506070803818

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3181
#16
21.20.3
16.416.7
Auto9.4
Teleop9.9
End1.9
red by 9.7
334
#43
11.53.1
12.39.2
Auto4.8
Teleop4.3
End2.5
Second
7036
#32
13.00.5
11.512.1
Auto5.1
Teleop6.9
End1.0
red by 3.0
229
#41
10.03.1
10.87.7
Auto5.1
Teleop3.3
End1.5
Third
6353
#52
8.70.5
5.25.7
Auto2.8
Teleop4.9
End1.0
red by 2.5
271
#51
6.33.1
13.610.5
Auto2.1
Teleop3.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed