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Red56
304412.7
499112.6
87023.9
Blue38
63912.7
155915.5
53312.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4845303540505560655638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#12
23.90.9
20.921.8
Auto7.9
Teleop12.7
End3.4
red by 8.5
1559
#27
15.50.8
17.216.3
Auto3.3
Teleop10.6
End1.6
Second
3044
#44
12.70.9
9.310.2
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End1.8
blue by 0.1
639
#28
12.71.4
9.48.0
Auto4.0
Teleop8.0
End0.7
Third
4991
#45
12.60.5
12.813.3
Auto4.2
Teleop7.4
End1.0
Level
533
#33
12.61.4
14.112.7
Auto6.8
Teleop4.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsEarned