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Red45
383815.5
409311.5
379919.3
Blue79
63912.7
42421.0
318121.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3847102030607080904579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3799
#18
19.31.1
11.012.1
Auto5.2
Teleop12.5
End1.6
blue by 1.9
3181
#16
21.22.0
16.818.8
Auto9.4
Teleop9.9
End1.9
Second
3838
#35
15.51.1
15.216.3
Auto6.0
Teleop7.9
End1.6
blue by 5.5
424
#6
21.03.4
17.721.0
Auto8.4
Teleop10.5
End2.0
Third
4093
#38
11.51.1
9.110.1
Auto6.8
Teleop4.3
End0.4
blue by 1.2
639
#28
12.73.4
7.210.6
Auto4.0
Teleop8.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed