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Red60
19115.4
151118.4
146827.1
Blue50
311713.1
63912.7
686820.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60452040801006050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.10.3
22.923.1
Auto9.2
Teleop15.2
End2.7
red by 7.1
6868
#22
20.10.8
19.620.4
Auto7.0
Teleop9.6
End3.4
Second
1511
#29
18.40.3
16.616.8
Auto7.6
Teleop9.2
End1.6
red by 5.2
3117
#53
13.10.5
12.112.6
Auto5.1
Teleop5.8
End2.1
Third
191
#26
15.40.3
13.113.3
Auto4.0
Teleop10.8
End0.6
red by 2.7
639
#28
12.70.8
10.611.4
Auto4.0
Teleop8.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
63%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed