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Red68
151811.7
22910.0
222824.8
Blue53
493012.4
42421.0
304412.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444630405060706853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2228
#20
24.80.5
22.723.2
Auto8.9
Teleop10.5
End5.5
red by 3.8
424
#6
21.01.2
21.022.3
Auto8.4
Teleop10.5
End2.0
Second
1518
#48
11.70.8
9.310.1
Auto5.0
Teleop5.1
End1.6
blue by 1.0
3044
#44
12.71.2
9.811.1
Auto3.7
Teleop7.2
End1.8
Third
229
#41
10.00.8
8.29.0
Auto5.1
Teleop3.3
End1.5
blue by 2.5
4930
#39
12.41.2
10.211.4
Auto2.9
Teleop8.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed48%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed