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Red105
34026.4
686820.1
301532.0
Blue115
317329.1
146827.1
379919.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8578204060100120140160105115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.00.6
31.332.0
Auto13.0
Teleop13.7
End5.3
red by 2.9
29.10.4
27.928.3
Auto9.0
Teleop18.9
End1.3
Second
340
#2
26.40.6
25.826.4
Auto8.2
Teleop17.1
End1.1
blue by 0.7
27.10.6
25.626.1
Auto9.2
Teleop15.2
End2.7
Third
6868
#22
20.10.8
19.220.1
Auto7.0
Teleop9.6
End3.4
red by 0.8
3799
#18
19.30.6
17.718.2
Auto5.2
Teleop12.5
End1.6