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Red86
686820.1
34026.4
301532.0
Blue81
493012.4
318121.2
319323.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89592040801001208681

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.00.2
31.431.6
Auto13.0
Teleop13.7
End5.3
red by 8.6
23.40.1
23.523.5
Auto7.9
Teleop14.5
End1.0
Second
340
#2
26.40.2
25.826.0
Auto8.2
Teleop17.1
End1.1
red by 5.2
3181
#16
21.20.0
21.321.3
Auto9.4
Teleop9.9
End1.9
Third
6868
#22
20.10.3
19.820.0
Auto7.0
Teleop9.6
End3.4
red by 7.6
4930
#39
12.40.1
12.512.6
Auto2.9
Teleop8.9
End0.7