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Red107
301532.0
34026.4
112619.4
Blue77
140524.5
300322.8
19115.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions886420408010012014010777

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.00.3
31.632.0
Auto13.0
Teleop13.7
End5.3
red by 7.4
24.50.5
24.024.5
Auto8.5
Teleop13.4
End2.6
Second
340
#2
26.40.3
26.026.4
Auto8.2
Teleop17.1
End1.1
red by 3.6
3003
#11
22.80.5
22.322.8
Auto8.5
Teleop13.0
End1.3
Third
1126
#17
19.40.3
19.119.4
Auto8.7
Teleop8.6
End2.1
red by 4.0
191
#26
15.40.5
14.915.3
Auto4.0
Teleop10.8
End0.6