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Red58
99905.6
19116.1
150727.5
Blue24
151115.0
15852.9
140519.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605730405070805824

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.50.2
27.727.9
Auto11.7
Teleop13.8
End2.0
red by 7.7
1405
#20
19.81.9
24.822.9
Auto8.8
Teleop9.4
End1.5
Second
191
#3
16.10.2
19.719.9
Auto5.6
Teleop9.1
End1.5
red by 1.1
1511
#25
15.01.9
21.319.5
Auto8.7
Teleop5.4
End0.9
Third
9990
#16
5.60.3
8.28.5
Auto0.2
Teleop3.9
End1.2
red by 2.6
1585
#26
2.92.3
5.93.6
Auto-0.6
Teleop3.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsMissed53%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed