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Red110
159133.1
151115.0
403934.8
Blue82
222824.7
140519.8
150727.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions917205010015011082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.80.6
34.234.8
Auto14.6
Teleop18.9
End1.3
red by 7.3
27.50.3
26.026.3
Auto11.7
Teleop13.8
End2.0
Second
33.10.6
32.533.1
Auto12.1
Teleop18.3
End2.7
red by 8.4
24.70.3
23.223.5
Auto8.2
Teleop12.3
End4.2
Third
1511
#25
15.00.6
14.415.0
Auto8.7
Teleop5.4
End0.9
blue by 4.8
1405
#20
19.80.3
18.318.6
Auto8.8
Teleop9.4
End1.5