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Red86
150727.5
140519.8
222824.7
Blue67
300316.8
42419.9
57813.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions795102040601001208667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.50.3
26.326.6
Auto11.7
Teleop13.8
End2.0
red by 7.6
424
#9
19.90.3
19.619.9
Auto7.5
Teleop12.3
End0.2
Second
24.70.3
23.523.8
Auto8.2
Teleop12.3
End4.2
red by 7.9
3003
#17
16.80.3
16.616.8
Auto5.7
Teleop10.2
End1.0
Third
1405
#20
19.80.3
18.618.8
Auto8.8
Teleop9.4
End1.5
red by 6.0
578
#12
13.70.3
13.513.7
Auto8.2
Teleop3.8
End1.8