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Red40
2015.6
69119.2
28716.6
Blue64
3548.6
35326.8
659312.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4654020801001201404064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
#27
16.60.3
16.916.6
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End0.6
blue by 10.2
353
#1
26.80.0
26.826.8
Auto11.7
Teleop13.7
End1.4
Second
20
#7
15.60.3
16.015.6
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End2.0
red by 2.7
6593
#17
12.90.0
12.912.9
Auto5.1
Teleop6.9
End1.0
Third
6911
#45
9.20.3
9.59.2
Auto3.0
Teleop5.3
End1.0
red by 0.6
354
#19
8.60.0
8.58.6
Auto3.0
Teleop4.4
End1.1