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Red37
4820.7
35814.6
68804.6
Blue43
77185.3
35326.8
964210.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34351020304050603743

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48
#6
20.70.6
14.915.5
Auto6.4
Teleop13.5
End0.7
blue by 6.1
353
#1
26.80.2
14.114.3
Auto11.7
Teleop13.7
End1.4
Second
358
#18
14.60.6
9.19.7
Auto9.4
Teleop5.1
End0.1
red by 4.3
9642
#26
10.30.2
8.68.9
Auto4.0
Teleop6.4
End-0.1
Third
6880
#48
4.60.6
7.68.2
Auto1.5
Teleop2.5
End0.5
blue by 0.7
7718
#29
5.30.2
8.18.4
Auto1.6
Teleop2.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed