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Red45
362413.8
77596.4
26314.7
Blue10
77488.1
69698.5
68063.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373301020405060704510

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
#14
14.71.1
15.416.6
Auto6.4
Teleop6.6
End1.7
red by 6.2
6969
#31
8.52.3
12.09.7
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End1.5
Second
3624
#21
13.81.1
10.311.4
Auto5.7
Teleop6.0
End2.0
red by 5.7
7748
#24
8.12.3
7.65.3
Auto5.1
Teleop2.1
End0.9
Third
7759
#40
6.41.1
7.08.2
Auto1.7
Teleop3.9
End0.7
red by 2.7
6806
#41
3.72.3
10.88.6
Auto1.6
Teleop1.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed