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Red38
317117.7
64636.4
77305.2
Blue25
73183.1
68804.6
395011.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332004060803825

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3171
#16
17.71.1
14.215.3
Auto6.4
Teleop8.9
End2.3
red by 6.6
3950
#22
11.20.4
8.69.0
Auto4.5
Teleop5.7
End1.0
Second
6463
#35
6.41.1
7.48.5
Auto2.1
Teleop3.4
End0.9
red by 1.8
6880
#48
4.60.4
5.86.2
Auto1.5
Teleop2.5
End0.5
Third
7730
#44
5.21.1
6.37.5
Auto2.2
Teleop2.5
End0.5
red by 2.1
7318
#46
3.10.4
5.35.6
Auto2.4
Teleop0.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed