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Red29
69698.5
26314.7
2506.9
Blue35
41228.2
17979.8
901617.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36411020305060702935

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
#14
14.71.8
16.014.3
Auto6.4
Teleop6.6
End1.7
blue by 3.3
9016
#13
17.90.7
12.111.4
Auto8.1
Teleop8.1
End1.7
Second
6969
#31
8.51.8
10.99.1
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End1.5
blue by 1.3
1797
#10
9.80.7
12.411.7
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End1.5
Third
250
#32
6.91.8
6.04.2
Auto2.1
Teleop3.8
End1.0
blue by 1.3
4122
#28
8.20.7
11.911.2
Auto5.3
Teleop2.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed