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Red42
901617.9
64014.5
73183.1
Blue32
77305.2
28716.6
964210.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3832010205060704232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9016
#13
17.91.3
12.210.9
Auto8.1
Teleop8.1
End1.7
red by 1.4
287
#27
16.60.5
12.011.5
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End0.6
Second
6401
#30
4.51.3
11.310.0
Auto1.9
Teleop1.7
End1.0
blue by 5.8
9642
#26
10.318.2
26.88.6
Auto4.0
Teleop6.4
End-0.1
Third
7318
#46
3.11.3
10.08.7
Auto2.4
Teleop0.1
End0.5
blue by 2.1
7730
#44
5.20.5
8.47.9
Auto2.2
Teleop2.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed