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Red49
188419.8
964210.3
32047.4
Blue33
30046.5
3695.1
81015.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352802060801001204933

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.81.5
16.317.8
Auto8.6
Teleop10.4
End0.9
red by 4.1
810
#12
15.70.3
12.713.0
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End1.9
Second
9642
#26
10.31.5
7.89.3
Auto4.0
Teleop6.4
End-0.1
red by 3.8
3004
#20
6.50.3
9.09.3
Auto3.9
Teleop2.4
End0.2
Third
3204
#25
7.41.5
6.48.0
Auto4.1
Teleop2.4
End1.0
red by 2.3
369
#38
5.10.3
4.64.9
Auto2.1
Teleop1.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed