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Red44
35814.6
395011.2
17979.8
Blue69
642318.0
41228.2
179633.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3664020801004469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
358
#18
14.60.4
14.213.8
Auto9.4
Teleop5.1
End0.1
blue by 19.0
33.61.1
31.632.7
Auto13.2
Teleop16.3
End4.0
Second
3950
#22
11.20.4
10.610.2
Auto4.5
Teleop5.7
End1.0
blue by 6.8
18.01.1
12.313.4
Auto7.7
Teleop8.2
End2.1
Third
1797
#10
9.80.4
10.910.5
Auto3.7
Teleop4.6
End1.5
red by 1.5
4122
#28
8.21.1
10.611.6
Auto5.3
Teleop2.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed