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Red19
26314.7
3950.6
32047.4
Blue18
279113.4
73183.1
2015.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29490204060801918

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
#14
14.71.0
14.513.6
Auto6.4
Teleop6.6
End1.7
blue by 0.9
20
#7
15.62.7
17.214.5
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End2.0
Second
3204
#25
7.41.0
10.59.5
Auto4.1
Teleop2.4
End1.0
blue by 6.0
13.42.9
19.516.6
Auto4.7
Teleop7.0
End1.6
Third
395
#43
0.61.0
3.22.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop0.2
End0.6
blue by 2.4
7318
#46
3.12.7
5.12.5
Auto2.4
Teleop0.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed