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Red20
395011.2
642318.0
76682.1
Blue82
188419.8
26314.7
659312.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363502060801002082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.02.0
9.67.6
Auto7.7
Teleop8.2
End2.1
blue by 1.8
19.83.4
10.113.5
Auto8.6
Teleop10.4
End0.9
Second
3950
#22
11.22.0
14.212.2
Auto4.5
Teleop5.7
End1.0
blue by 3.5
263
#14
14.73.4
12.015.4
Auto6.4
Teleop6.6
End1.7
Third
7668
#36
2.12.0
8.97.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop1.8
End0.7
blue by 10.8
6593
#17
12.93.4
9.312.7
Auto5.1
Teleop6.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned