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Red81
529811.7
188419.8
317117.7
Blue41
77488.1
35814.6
3548.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions533702060801008141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.80.7
17.017.6
Auto8.6
Teleop10.4
End0.9
red by 5.2
358
#18
14.60.6
13.814.5
Auto9.4
Teleop5.1
End0.1
Second
3171
#16
17.70.7
17.017.7
Auto6.4
Teleop8.9
End2.3
red by 9.2
354
#19
8.60.6
10.511.1
Auto3.0
Teleop4.4
End1.1
Third
11.70.7
11.612.3
Auto3.6
Teleop7.7
End0.5
red by 3.6
7748
#24
8.10.6
10.611.2
Auto5.1
Teleop2.1
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed