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Red30
964210.3
69119.2
28755.2
Blue21
69698.5
3950.6
642318.0
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions243504060801003021

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9642
#26
10.30.7
9.39.9
Auto4.0
Teleop6.4
End-0.1
blue by 7.7
18.01.1
17.616.5
Auto7.7
Teleop8.2
End2.1
Second
6911
#45
9.20.7
7.68.3
Auto3.0
Teleop5.3
End1.0
red by 0.7
6969
#31
8.51.1
10.79.6
Auto3.4
Teleop3.7
End1.5
Third
2875
#33
5.20.7
6.26.9
Auto1.6
Teleop2.9
End0.7
red by 4.6
395
#43
0.61.2
2.21.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop0.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed