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Red44
529811.7
317117.7
26314.7
Blue91
28716.6
69119.2
2015.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504202060801001204491

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3171
#16
17.70.2
17.817.7
Auto6.4
Teleop8.9
End2.3
red by 1.2
287
#27
16.60.9
15.616.5
Auto4.5
Teleop11.5
End0.6
Second
263
#14
14.70.1
14.814.6
Auto6.4
Teleop6.6
End1.7
blue by 0.9
20
#7
15.60.9
14.815.6
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End2.0
Third
11.70.1
11.811.7
Auto3.6
Teleop7.7
End0.5
red by 2.5
6911
#45
9.20.9
8.39.2
Auto3.0
Teleop5.3
End1.0