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Red50
398619.4
155915.4
151122.7
Blue70
770918.6
630026.6
22348.4
85%Model gave it15%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions654520801005070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1511
#19
22.70.7
21.020.3
Auto10.8
Teleop10.6
End1.3
blue by 3.9
26.60.1
20.620.8
Auto6.1
Teleop18.7
End1.9
Second
3986
#39
19.40.6
20.219.7
Auto6.4
Teleop10.9
End2.1
red by 0.8
7709
#11
18.60.2
14.514.7
Auto5.8
Teleop11.5
End1.3
Third
1559
#28
15.40.5
14.814.2
Auto5.0
Teleop8.5
End1.9
red by 7.0
2234
#38
8.40.1
7.77.8
Auto4.2
Teleop3.2
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
47%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsEarned