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Red89
16018.2
341930.0
317339.6
Blue37
20958.3
63918.5
188017.2
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions673802060801008937

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.61.7
30.632.4
Auto13.2
Teleop25.3
End1.1
red by 21.1
639
#5
18.50.0
16.616.6
Auto6.7
Teleop11.2
End0.6
Second
30.02.9
17.120.0
Auto10.9
Teleop16.3
End2.7
red by 12.8
1880
#26
17.20.1
12.612.5
Auto6.4
Teleop10.3
End0.6
Third
1601
#44
8.22.9
9.212.1
Auto4.2
Teleop3.3
End0.8
blue by 0.2
2095
#34
8.30.0
8.58.4
Auto3.2
Teleop3.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsEarned32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed