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Red63
300323.3
69698.4
159134.9
Blue54
2022.4
64017.8
398619.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7448204060801006354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.90.0
31.531.4
Auto14.9
Teleop16.6
End3.4
red by 12.5
20
#13
22.40.4
20.020.4
Auto6.9
Teleop13.6
End1.9
Second
3003
#14
23.30.0
23.423.4
Auto8.1
Teleop14.1
End1.0
red by 3.8
3986
#39
19.40.4
18.719.1
Auto6.4
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Third
6969
#41
8.40.0
8.68.6
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End0.8
red by 0.6
6401
#32
7.80.4
7.68.0
Auto0.9
Teleop5.4
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed